Better to bet less odds on bets. Small odds betting: a drain strategy

Many bookmaker's gamblers start their sports betting journey with low and sometimes very low odds. At the initial stage, a thought appears in the head, kef. 1.2, this is 20% per annum and you only need to guess just one event by betting on a clear favorite. However, later it turns out that even the obvious favorites can lose. An example is the match Barcelona - Rubin (Kazan), seemingly invincible, at that time the team of Josepe Guardiola managed to lose at home, with a crowded stadium 1-2. What can you even talk about, if often the odds are not played in tennis 1.02 - 1.0.6

The topic of luck or bad luck in sports betting can be discussed for a long time, however, if a player bet on odds of 1.03 and the bet fails, he should only blame himself for this. In such situations, you need to understand that the analysis was superficial, or it was not done at all.

Pros of small odds or how to drain the bank?

1. Time. Many people mistakenly believe that since the odds on the outcome of an event are small, the probability of success of a player / team with a low odds is high and it is not worth spending time on analysis.

2. Express. Most of the players who bet in express games with a small coefficient, without analysis at a distance, will in any case be in the red. Even if these express bets pass several times, after the very first loss, you will begin to doubt the strategy of small odds, since it will be very difficult to win back.

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What you need to know about small odds betting?

1. Women's sports. If you are still young and do not want your head to sit for an hour or two, then in no case bet on events with a small coefficient in which girls / women are performing.

2. Team name. Even if a team with a big name is playing, it can lose and it can even lose to an outsider. It is necessary to conduct a thorough analysis of the shape of the players, the atmosphere, the motivation of the players, etc.

3 .Live. It is recommended to place bets on odds from 1.01 to 1.2 only in live or a couple of hours before the start of the meeting, since the team's coach may underestimate the opponent and release the second squad, or in general he may think that this match does not solve anything for his team. And knowing that the 2nd squad is playing or the team leaders have not entered the field, you can safely bypass this event.

4. Cup match. In many championships there are tournaments that are secondary for the favorite clubs. Therefore, as a rule, they release the 2nd line-up for the game, which quite often merges games with outsiders.

5. Start of the Championship. It is not necessary to place bets, with low odds, on favorites at the very beginning of the season. It is not always clear in what form the leader of the championship can approach the beginning of the season. For example, Spartak M., the 2017-2018 season of the RFPL, the red and white failed the start of the championship, thus the players who took bets on Spartak's victory with small odds remained in a big minus.

Output

1) How to make a profit at a distance? The importance of value.

Betting is an investment. Someone trades on the stock exchange, someone makes a deposit in the bank, and someone else has a stable profit from sports betting. However, this should also be treated as an investment. The only way to beat the bookmaker in the long run (to make a systematic profit, and not to double the bank once and then drain everything) in the bets is to find events that the bookmaker underestimated.

The whole point of betting is in assessing the likelihood of events. You need to find matches in which your probability score exceeds the bookmaker's score. This is VALUE. The bookmaker's score is included in the odds.

Example: let's say the bookmaker's odds for the Zenit-Spartak outcome tb2.5 are 2.0 (i.e. the probability of breaking the total = 1 / 2.0 = 50% - excluding the bookmaker's margin). You think the probability is at least 60%. Those. the fair odds should be 1 / 0.6 = 1.67. Value is obvious. If we take a distance of 1000 similar matches, we get 400 losses and 600 wins at odds of 2.0. Those. 1200 - 1000 = 200. Or 20% of net profit.

2 ) Why is 60% cross-country ability already cool? Isn't that enough? ..

Are you promised a monthly (or even daily) doubling of the bank? Send them to the forest. Look a little further than your nose. Yes, you can be given 3-4 predictions in a row. But will they be able to act unmistakably all the time? Will they do at least a few months plus? No one sees the future, and no one predicts 100%, or even 80% of events. You can guess 8 out of 10, you can get a streak of 15 positive outcomes (and I've had it), but it's almost impossible to guess 800 out of 1000 and win all the time. Naturally, we are talking about normal odds (1.8 and more), and not about 1.01.

60% passability with an average odds of 1.9 gives 14% of net profit. 14% on a monthly cumulative basis is 482% per year. Not bad, huh? However, we still need to reach these 60% and 1.9. You need to look at a distance of at least 100 predictions (and reliably from 500 or more).

3) Here: are there fixed matches?

Yes, there are match-fixing. But no one will sell them to you. This information costs a lot of money and is intended for a narrow circle of people. All people who sell "agreements" for 100 rubles look ridiculous. If you know 100% the outcome of the match, charge a million and go to Bali. A funny picture in the topic:

4) The error "got caught". What is Sagging Ratio?

Never bet on odds of 1.2 - 1.3. They are absolutely not beneficial. To recapture one bet you need to place 4. At the same time, the probability that they will enter all at once is much less than it is planned. The sagging kef is obtained due to the skew of the line. Many people bet on the same event, and as a result, the bookmaker adjusts the line towards the market. Let's say that initially the odds at TB2.5 in the Manchester United - Liverpool match were 1.8. But people bet a lot on TB, and as a result, the odds drop to 1.55. This od is no longer profitable (remember value?). However, many keep betting anyway - this strategy is wrong. Either manage to bet at the normal odds, or wait for the line to be corrected in live, or abstain from the bet altogether. A systematic bet on a sagging odds leads to bankruptcy.

5) Why is it profitable to bet on unpopular leagues? Why do most people drain their money at the World Cup, Champions League, LE, Premier League?

It's simple. In unpopular leagues, it is much more common to find "value" (ie with value) odds. Firstly, bookmakers often set an incorrect line for minor league matches. There are a little less limits, but you can throw 5-10 thousand for sure. Often these values ​​exceed 30 thousand, depending on the league. Secondly, there is no mass thoughtless loading of events.

As for the top champions, the best bookmaker analysts work on the matches, so it is much more difficult to find a value odds. In addition, there is a whole cohort of people who bet on favorites. They know the brand of Real - they cut at Real for 1.2, regardless of the situation, they load negative handicaps. By the way, that is why it is more profitable to bet on underdogs and positive handicaps at a distance. However, you need to competently find such matches. This tendency is clearly visible in the rendered matches.

6) Why 90% of people give their money to the bookmaker?

Because they don't know what bank roll management is. This concept comes from poker, where it came in turn from financial management. Better to have 10% stable - this gives more than 200% net annual interest. Than 150% in a month, and then merge everything for the next two. That is why it is worth limiting the amount of a single bet. How much% from the bank you decide to take - depending on how much you are subject to excitement. If after 5 losses in a row you start to panic and recoup, you should bet 1-2% of the bank. If you react adequately to losses - 5%. The maximum bar is 10%, however, this amount should be set only if you are extremely confident and there are good reasons to do so (it happens 1-2 times a month, and then not every).

Accordingly, you can forget about what VA-BANK is. I know many stories of how people then get into loans and ruin their lives.

7) Did I lose?

Yes. There is no person who has not had a single unsuccessful period. If he says otherwise, believe me, he is a charlatan. Everyone has the so-called lose streaks - a series of defeats. I won't tell you the longest chain of losses, but there have been 30% monthly drawdowns in my more than 7-year history. However, it also happened that more than 100% of the profit came out per month.

8) How much to bet according to my predictions?

If you read the last point carefully, I think you get the idea. Maximum 5% of the bank. The decision on the rate is taken by you, you take responsibility for yourself.

9) Are express trains profitable?

An express with a kef of 200 looks cool, but it is collected by units out of millions. Express trains are generally unprofitable at a distance; they should be used very rarely. And a maximum of 2-3 events. And the disadvantage is that the probabilities are multiplied. Let's say you give 60% to each of the matches that they will play. So that they will log in at the same time, the probability is only 36%. Are you willing to take this risk?

10) Are live bets profitable?

I do not recommend jumping into live bets on your own. Most of them lose by playing live. it is more difficult to control your emotions. Instant loss triggers a mechanism that needs to be recouped. Only with vast experience behind you can you turn to live. I only see 3 reasons why this tool is needed.

1. Make an overlapping bet if you see that events are developing in a completely different way than expected.

2. Bet on TB after 15 minutes of a football match. Often, during this period, teams only look at each other, roll into the match, less than 10% of all goals are scored in the first 15-minute. At the same time, the odds will naturally rise.

3. Bet live on the NBA. Often the game is played "swinging" - with a change of leaders. You can take the coveted head start on a higher odds at some points in the match.

11) What are the best bookmakers?

I consider BC Marathon the best office in the CIS. Mastodons of the betting business: pinnacle and sbobet. Also excellent offices: William hill, bet365. I like 1xbet a little less.

There is no single best strategy. I think flat is one of the best. This is either a fixed amount of bets all the time, or a% of the current / starting bank.

13) How much time do I spend on betting a day?

On average 6-8 hours. Depending on the line.

14) Why do I need all this?

You can make money on bets. I would like those who are losing now to be able to improve the situation. If you wish, you can always find mutually beneficial options if you are interested in something more than a blog.

15) Be continued ...

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There is an opinion that the strategy of betting on low odds is a losing one. Of course, this opinion did not appear without reason. However, in this article we will tell you that the tactics of betting on low odds can very well bring a decent profit. The success of this strategy is highly dependent on the knowledge, endurance and skills of the bettor.

This article will describe a special approach, and you will only need to decide whether to apply it in practice or not.

You should place your bets on low odds in bookmakers, where the Live section is well developed. It is also worth choosing reliable bookmakers who will definitely pay your winnings. You have to make a lot of bets to make money. And where can you make a lot of bets and get the result in the shortest possible time? That's right, in the Live section. You can also bet on betting exchanges.

What odds are worth betting on?

Particular attention should be paid not so much to the event on which the bet is planned, but rather to the odds. There is the following rule here:

1. 01 - 1.02 are working factors.
2. 03 - place bets with caution.
3. 04 - 1.05 - think carefully about each bet.

Note that 1.05 is not a 95/100 odds. Don't forget about the bookmaker's margin. As a result, the coefficient 1.05 corresponds to the real 1.1.

What to bet on and how to manage the bank?

For example, there is a football match. By the way, we will place bets on this strategy at football matches. So, the first half ended 1: 0. What can you bet on here? Do you think the teams will be able to break the total over 5.5. In the vast majority of cases, this is not possible. The odds for this outcome are 1.02. Your bet is "Total less than 5.5".

It is very convenient to place bets on totals, as you can soberly assess the game if you look at the results of the first half.

The bank should be divided into 10 equal parts. For example, you have $ 500. That is, the amount of one bet is $ 50. An event with odds of 1.02 will net you $ 1. What happens? You find 10 matches and bet on these odds. As a result, in 1 hour you will earn $ 10. You can easily earn the amount of one bet per day.

Do you need to understand football?

Of course, it is advisable that you are well versed in football. Understanding what teams are capable of will help you to significantly save your money and nerves.

It is advisable to be aware of why you are making this particular bet. You must be sure that it will pass. We are not talking about 2.00 odds, where anything is possible. Well, for example, the first half of Bayern Munich ended with a score 2: 1 in favor of the Munich club. The odds for total over 6 are 1.05. Should I bet? Very risky. For Bayern Munich to end the match with a score of 5: 2 is a common thing.

In order to place a bet, you must at least evaluate the statistics of the teams' past games. It is also advisable to collect statistics in advance for all the championships you are interested in. If a team had such a situation that it ended the first half with a goalless draw, and in the second half it scored 5 goals, then it is better not to mess with such guys.

Disadvantages of the low odds betting strategy

1. If you lose, then it is very long and tedious to recoup.
2. The desire to recoup, as a rule, leads to additional losses.
3. It is not always possible to place a bet with the amount you need.
4. This strategy is time consuming.
5. It is very difficult to analyze all the events, since they all take place at the same time.
6. The strategy is not suitable for bookmakers with an undeveloped Live section.

Benefits of a low odds betting strategy

1. The risks of losing your funds are minimal.
2. The selection of events for betting is huge.
3. You don't need to thoroughly study every team you plan to bet on.
4. This strategy implies a fast turnover of funds.

If you fail, it is not fatal. The main thing is not to flog a fever. Better to tie up with the rates for today. So you will definitely not break the wood. Remember that tomorrow you will definitely play everything.

Everything that is written below applies only to betting on football, unless another sport is indicated.

I would like to try out a strategy that just recently came to mind. In short: football, total over 0.5 (odds. 1.05 - 1.07), express from 3, maximum 5 events, bet from 50,000 rubles. Yes, it looks risky, you can lose a lot of money at a time, and the potential gain is much less than the amount invested. But maybe there is still common sense in this strategy?

And now, in order.

A little bit about yourself

I always wanted to bet less and win more. I am not an expert in sports (I cannot disassemble a football match by tactical and technical actions a la Bubnov). I don't consider myself an experienced better either. - I mainly place bets during major events: World Cup, European Football Championship, etc. I used to bet on wins, non-losses, 2.5 over / under totals, handicaps. I never bet on statistics (corners, cards) - not mine. I use only express trains, I don't install systems. He actively bet at the last EURO 2016. I made about 15 bets, every third one was winning, but in the black it was only 3000 rubles. for the whole championship! This is very small!

Why am I looking for a new strategy

Tired of betting on the results of matches (winning, not losing). The sport is too unpredictable. The favorites often draw or lose to not the strongest teams, and in a dispute between two approximately equal teams, the outcome is very difficult to predict. I started trying to bet on totals, bet on less than 3.5 or even less than 4.5. But it so happens that, contrary to all predictions, the teams can break through, and they will beat each other a bunch of heads.

Total over 0.5 and an attempt to substantiate the strategy

Yes, there is such a rate, although I did not notice it before. The coefficient is very small, depending on the class of teams: maybe 1.05, maybe 1.1. Coming from the simplest, banal logic: the goal of each team is to score a goal to the opponent, which they try to do within 90 minutes. As a rule, either one or both teams succeed in this. A 0-0 result is encountered, but very, very rare. This is the only danger to our strategy that we must try to avoid.

It makes no difference to me who wins and how many scores and concedes at the same time. Let the favorites lose or draw. The main thing is to have at least one single goal per match. You don't need to be an expert here and be well versed in sports. And I have already seen a lot of forecasts from experts. Like them, all of us, ordinary betters, try to think logically before the match: we analyze the state of the teams, their latest results, we see if this is a home match for the team we are betting on, or away, assess the teams' motivation ... And how much misses happen: anything can happen on the pitch that we could not predict before the match, using our logic: for example, 2 red cards to Roma in the match against Porto on 23.08.16 and goodbye, favorite. And there are a great many such examples.

Big bet - small odds. Selecting events

Because odds for total more than 0.5 tend to zero (or rather, to one), then in order to win something, you need to risk a larger, much larger amount than most of us are used to. The list of events is also limited: if Barcelona or Manchester City is playing, then there is no such bet at all, and the line starts with a total of 1.5. If there are very chronically middlings with a weak attack, then the danger of a 0-0 result increases (along with a coefficient that can reach 1.1.). And if, say, Arsenal is playing, or any other team "with a name" with some average peasant, then the odds for the total are greater, 0.5 will be 1.05 - 1.06.

If we bet an express from 3 events with odds. 1.05, then with a bet of 50,000 the winnings will be 50,000 x 1.1576 = 57880. You need to win 6.3 bets in order to only double the amount of the original bet, ie. win + 50,000 p.

You can make an express of 5 events, or choose events where the odds for the total are greater than 0.5, for example, 1.07-1.09. But the risk, accordingly, increases.

Finally

The quieter you go, the further you'll get. Greed and the desire for quick profit are the best qualities that bookmakers would like to see in their clients. I think for such a strategy you need to have a bank somewhere in the amount of 200,000 - 500,000 rubles. and nerves of steel. I hope that with express trains of 3 events (with their careful selection), winnings will happen often, very often, which will cover possible losses. You can bet 2 times a week: select events from each playing day of the main European championships.

Time will tell whether this strategy is good or bad. But one thing I understood for sure: if you really want to win something, then you need a lot of patience and ... a lot of money. There is nothing to do with one thousand rubles for this purpose in the bookmaker. And with two too. To win big (in the long run, a little each time), you need to risk a much larger amount.

As I said at the beginning, I am not an experienced player, so do not judge strictly. I just wanted to reflect on this strategy.

Small odds betting strategy in live is not popular enough, but it is able to provide confident earnings in bookmakers. To achieve success, you need to take your time and take into account certain rules. Let's look at ways to make successful predictions with low odds.

Selecting Competitions for the Low Odds Prediction Strategy

This strategy for small odds requires careful selection of sports matches, focusing on the odds and statistics. It is recommended to choose fights with odds of approximately 1.1 - 1.4, with the exception of those matches in which you are confident.

Examples of fights with low odds. In the match Georgia - Wales, the forecast for 12 has odds of 1.37, and 2X - 1.23.

In the match between the national teams of Italy and Macedonia, P1 with odds of 1.09, while 12 has odds of 1.056.

You should be careful when the favorite plays away. Some clubs play great at home and can even beat the leaders.

An important role in this strategy is played by the statistics of the results of past competitions and matches. Once the appropriate betting line and odds events have been identified, the head-to-head results and statistics should be carefully examined. It is important to consider how a particular club plays in a particular season at home and away. Face-to-face meetings will give a detailed picture of the possible outcome if you are using low odds bets.

Determining the most likely outcome

When the analysis on the system of small coefficients is carried out, it is necessary to determine the most likely outcome to ensure the success of the forecast. Here you can study sports predictions or use special services.

There are situations where it is quite difficult to predict the likely outcome. For example, when one team takes the leading place in the table, and the other - at the end of it, but the favorite on the road lost last season. A striking example is Leicester, who became the champion of England and performed very poorly the following season. Therefore, it is better to skip such events.

Types of bets with low odds

The strategy requires big bets and small odds. There are the following forecast options:

• Live bets. The system of betting with low odds for live requires special care. You need to predict when you are sure that a certain club will win. The score should be noticeably outweighed to one side. Table tennis is not suitable for playing on a system with low odds. Hockey is also poorly suited, as clubs often win back in the last seconds.
• Capital Management. It is important to pay attention to the results here. It is worth raising the level of the game when the bettor manages to double the bankroll. If the player has lost 50% of the bankroll, then, in accordance with the strategy, it is necessary to choose odds up to 1.3, and bet - half of the remaining bankroll. The time to level up will depend on the activity of the bettor.

conclusions

If you manage to achieve a stable growth of 10-11%, you can start withdrawing money from the bookmaker's office. The main thing is not to get nervous and act in accordance with the rules. You need to be patient and discreet to make money. The success of this system depends on the skill and endurance of the bettor.